NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU IND
Points 60.1 74.4
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 48.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 13.8
Points From Free Throws 10.8 12.3
Shooting WIU IND
Field Goals Made 21.5 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 59.8
Field Goal % 35.1% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 24.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 45.5
2 Point Shooting % 37.2% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 14.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 10.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 18.6
Free Throw % 62.4% 65.9%
Ball Control WIU IND
Rebounds 39.0 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.3 9.7
Turnovers 10.9 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 4.5
Steals 5.0 5.6
Fouls 14.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU IND
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 70.7
% of Possessions with WIU IND
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 56.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 17.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.4%
Turnover 15.7% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU IND
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 28.2%