NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU EIU
Points 68.4 61.6
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 14.1
Points From Free Throws 13.0 10.1
Shooting WIU EIU
Field Goals Made 24.8 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 63.8
Field Goal % 46.1% 36.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 48.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 38.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 13.0 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 13.7
Free Throw % 62.4% 73.7%
Ball Control WIU EIU
Rebounds 43.4 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 31.2 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 10.3
Turnovers 12.8 7.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 3.4
Steals 3.8 7.8
Fouls 11.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU EIU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 71.0
% of Possessions with WIU EIU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 59.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 19.4%
Player Fouled 23.5% 16.5%
Turnover 18.9% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU EIU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 10.8%
Offensive Rebound 36.8% 24.9%