NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIU WIGB
Points 67.1 67.8
Total Points   135.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 22.9
Points From Free Throws 12.6 10.3
Shooting WIU WIGB
Field Goals Made 24.7 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 59.4
Field Goal % 43.2% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 12.6 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 14.4
Free Throw % 62.4% 71.5%
Ball Control WIU WIGB
Rebounds 40.8 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 8.4
Turnovers 9.4 8.2
Blocked Shots 6.4 2.1
Steals 4.2 4.7
Fouls 12.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIU WIGB
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 66.8
% of Possessions with WIU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 30.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 19.2%
Turnover 14.2% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIU WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.7% 11.3%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 23.5%