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W Illinois at Denver
Sat Feb 29, 2020
3:00pm ET
Denver, CO
W Illinois at Denver: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Denver by 5, Total Points: 154.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WIU | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-14-1 | 14-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-1 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 3-7-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 11-7-0 | 9-9-2 |
W Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UTSA | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | S Methodist | +17.5 | L by 37 | -19.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | St. Ambrose | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/17 | Home | Southern | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 11/21 | Away | Valparaiso | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Illinois | +27.0 | L by 32 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Away | Wisconsin | +27.5 | L by 22 | +5.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Hannibal LaGrange College | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | South Dakota | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Coe College | -- | W by 22 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | Eureka | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Central Ark | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | SIU Edward | +6.5 | W by 8 | +14.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | SE Missouri | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Lindenwood | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | TN Martin | +6.0 | W by 9 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | E Illinois | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | TN State | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | S Indiana | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Morehead St | +11.0 | L by 14 | -3.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Lindenwood | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | SE Missouri | -4.0 | W by 21 | +17.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | AR Lit Rock | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | TN Martin | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | TN Tech | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | TN State | +3.0 | W by 7 | +10.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Morehead St | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | S Indiana | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | E Illinois | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | SIU Edward | -3.5 | W by 11 | +7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | TN State | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | +5.5 | L by 25 | -19.5 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UCSD | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 21 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Nicholls | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | SIU Edward | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | S Alabama | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Colorado Christian | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Idaho | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Colorado College | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/06 | Away | Colorado St | +20.5 | L by 10 | +10.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | BYU | +26.5 | L by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Adams St. | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Northern New Mexico | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Oral Roberts | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Idaho St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | N Colorado | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Dakota St | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Dakota St | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | North Dakota | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | South Dakota | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Neb Omaha | -5.5 | L by 19 | -24.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Kansas City | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Oral Roberts | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | St. Thomas | +2.5 | W by 17 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | North Dakota | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | S Dakota St | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | St. Thomas | +8.5 | L by 25 | -16.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Kansas City | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | S Dakota St | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| DEN -5.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3220 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Denver won the game 2205 times (68.5%).
- The team like Western Illinois won the game 1015 times (31.5%).
- The team like Denver did better against the spread, going 1619-1514-87 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4973 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 2455-2418-100 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -8.0 | -5.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/29 02:57 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 02:38 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/29 12:45 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 10:46 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/29 09:17 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/29 08:24 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 07:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/29 03:41 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 02:46 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 02/28 11:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
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