NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF COR
Points 63.9 76.7
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 29.5
Points From Free Throws 9.8 13.4
Shooting LAF COR
Field Goals Made 23.3 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 57.9
Field Goal % 39.5% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 9.8 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 18.1
Free Throw % 68.2% 74.2%
Ball Control LAF COR
Rebounds 33.6 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 9.3
Turnovers 11.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.8
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 14.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cornell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF COR
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 68.8
% of Possessions with LAF COR
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 35.0%
Player Fouled 19.8% 20.9%
Turnover 16.2% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF COR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 27.7%