NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF QUIN
Points 63.6 71.8
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 22.7
Points From Free Throws 9.3 13.9
Shooting LAF QUIN
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 61.1
Field Goal % 39.8% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 9.3 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 18.1
Free Throw % 68.2% 76.5%
Ball Control LAF QUIN
Rebounds 33.9 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 12.3
Turnovers 11.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.8
Steals 5.9 6.5
Fouls 13.0 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF QUIN
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 72.1
% of Possessions with LAF QUIN
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 25.6%
Player Fouled 18.4% 18.7%
Turnover 16.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF QUIN
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 32.6%