NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF AMER
Points 62.5 63.5
Total Points   126.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 27.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 24.8
Points From Free Throws 8.6 11.0
Shooting LAF AMER
Field Goals Made 23.0 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 52.9
Field Goal % 43.2% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.3 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 8.6 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 12.6 15.4
Free Throw % 68.2% 71.6%
Ball Control LAF AMER
Rebounds 31.4 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 8.7
Turnovers 9.7 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.5
Steals 5.1 4.9
Fouls 14.1 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF AMER
Total Possessions 63.9
Effective Scoring Chances 61.3 62.4
% of Possessions with LAF AMER
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 31.9%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.1%
Turnover 15.2% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF AMER
Shot Blocked 2.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 26.3%