NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF SYR
Points 60.2 75.8
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 20.7
Points From Free Throws 7.4 16.5
Shooting LAF SYR
Field Goals Made 22.8 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 55.8
Field Goal % 39.0% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 7.4 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 10.8 22.6
Free Throw % 68.2% 72.8%
Ball Control LAF SYR
Rebounds 33.7 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.2
Turnovers 14.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.5
Steals 5.4 8.5
Fouls 15.5 11.3

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF SYR
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 69.2
% of Possessions with LAF SYR
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 22.7%
Player Fouled 16.1% 22.0%
Turnover 20.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF SYR
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 24.8%