NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAF COLG
Points 56.5 65.4
Total Points   122.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 20.7
Points From Free Throws 7.5 10.9
Shooting LAF COLG
Field Goals Made 21.2 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 55.0
Field Goal % 36.9% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 7.5 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 11.1 16.4
Free Throw % 68.2% 66.6%
Ball Control LAF COLG
Rebounds 33.3 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.5
Turnovers 9.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.6
Steals 5.4 5.6
Fouls 12.8 10.5

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAF COLG
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 64.9
% of Possessions with LAF COLG
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 15.9% 19.4%
Turnover 14.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LAF COLG
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 24.9%