NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU GRC
Points 64.6 76.7
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 19.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 18.5
Shooting LMU GRC
Field Goals Made 22.6 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 57.7
Field Goal % 38.6% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 12.4 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 24.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 76.0%
Ball Control LMU GRC
Rebounds 34.8 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.0
Turnovers 10.8 7.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.7
Steals 2.8 6.2
Fouls 16.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU GRC
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 72.4
% of Possessions with LMU GRC
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.9%
Turnover 15.8% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 4.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU GRC
Shot Blocked 10.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 31.4%