NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LMU LBSU
Points 74.7 74.7
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 45.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.1 14.6
Points From Free Throws 11.9 14.9
Shooting LMU LBSU
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 62.5
Field Goal % 42.8% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 22.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 46.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.6 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 11.9 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 20.8
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.5%
Ball Control LMU LBSU
Rebounds 36.5 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.9
Turnovers 10.0 6.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 3.1 5.6
Fouls 15.7 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LMU LBSU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 75.2
% of Possessions with LMU LBSU
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 56.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 18.7%
Player Fouled 18.7% 22.4%
Turnover 14.2% 9.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 4.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LMU LBSU
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 31.1%