NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA CARK
Points 73.4 69.3
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 28.3
Points From 3-Pointers 29.4 29.5
Points From Free Throws 15.2 11.5
Shooting SELA CARK
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 58.3
Field Goal % 42.4% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 9.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 28.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.2 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 15.3
Free Throw % 74.0% 75.3%
Ball Control SELA CARK
Rebounds 37.6 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.6
Turnovers 11.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.1
Steals 7.7 6.4
Fouls 13.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: SE Louisiana

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA CARK
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 68.4
% of Possessions with SELA CARK
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 36.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 35.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.0%
Turnover 16.0% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA CARK
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 26.3%