NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB BRY
Points 72.9 79.7
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 25.6
Points From Free Throws 14.6 11.6
Shooting CLMB BRY
Field Goals Made 24.8 29.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.2 61.7
Field Goal % 38.7% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.8% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.6 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 17.2
Free Throw % 71.3% 67.6%
Ball Control CLMB BRY
Rebounds 38.7 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 7.3
Turnovers 11.5 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 7.6
Steals 7.4 5.8
Fouls 15.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Bryant

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB BRY
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 72.3
% of Possessions with CLMB BRY
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.1%
Turnover 15.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB BRY
Shot Blocked 12.4% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 20.9%