NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB YALE
Points 69.1 79.1
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 44.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 23.1
Points From Free Throws 11.3 11.6
Shooting CLMB YALE
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 58.9
Field Goal % 43.6% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 16.6
Free Throw % 71.3% 69.8%
Ball Control CLMB YALE
Rebounds 30.2 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.9
Turnovers 10.9 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.4
Steals 5.4 5.8
Fouls 15.0 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB YALE
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 69.1
% of Possessions with CLMB YALE
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 27.1%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.6%
Turnover 15.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB YALE
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 27.9%