NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA NICH
Points 69.9 74.0
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 29.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 31.3
Points From Free Throws 16.1 13.4
Shooting SELA NICH
Field Goals Made 23.2 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 56.1
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 28.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 16.1 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 18.5
Free Throw % 74.0% 72.4%
Ball Control SELA NICH
Rebounds 35.6 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.7
Turnovers 11.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.2
Steals 6.8 6.6
Fouls 14.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA NICH
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 67.8
% of Possessions with SELA NICH
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 35.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 34.6%
Player Fouled 22.0% 20.8%
Turnover 16.7% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA NICH
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 25.5%