NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TAMCOM NICH
Points 68.5 76.4
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 21.6
Points From Free Throws 15.6 18.1
Shooting TAMCOM NICH
Field Goals Made 22.7 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 55.8
Field Goal % 38.4% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 15.6 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 25.0
Free Throw % 69.6% 72.4%
Ball Control TAMCOM NICH
Rebounds 32.9 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.5
Turnovers 9.9 12.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.9
Steals 7.3 5.3
Fouls 15.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-Com

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TAMCOM NICH
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 70.6
% of Possessions with TAMCOM NICH
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 21.5%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.6%
Turnover 13.5% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TAMCOM NICH
Shot Blocked 7.2% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 28.1%