NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB DUQ
Points 64.1 77.0
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 23.8
Points From Free Throws 12.5 12.8
Shooting CLMB DUQ
Field Goals Made 22.4 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 57.3
Field Goal % 41.3% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 12.5 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 17.5
Free Throw % 71.3% 73.4%
Ball Control CLMB DUQ
Rebounds 30.8 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.7
Turnovers 13.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.3 6.3
Steals 6.2 7.3
Fouls 14.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB DUQ
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 68.4
% of Possessions with CLMB DUQ
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.6%
Turnover 19.1% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB DUQ
Shot Blocked 11.2% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 30.5%