NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB PROV
Points 63.9 80.0
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 27.5
Points From Free Throws 11.0 14.5
Shooting CLMB PROV
Field Goals Made 22.8 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 57.2
Field Goal % 38.9% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.1% 62.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 19.4
Free Throw % 71.3% 74.5%
Ball Control CLMB PROV
Rebounds 30.7 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 9.4
Turnovers 11.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 1.7 5.9
Steals 6.6 6.1
Fouls 16.2 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB PROV
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 69.6
% of Possessions with CLMB PROV
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 37.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 33.3%
Player Fouled 18.6% 22.8%
Turnover 16.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB PROV
Shot Blocked 10.4% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 29.4%