NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORAL STET
Points 75.1 78.0
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 23.7
Points From Free Throws 13.2 18.6
Shooting NORAL STET
Field Goals Made 27.2 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 55.0
Field Goal % 44.0% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 13.2 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 24.8
Free Throw % 77.2% 75.1%
Ball Control NORAL STET
Rebounds 34.7 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.1
Turnovers 7.5 7.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.1
Steals 4.2 3.8
Fouls 17.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Stetson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORAL STET
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 69.8
% of Possessions with NORAL STET
2 Point Attempt 51.4% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.8%
Turnover 10.7% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORAL STET
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 24.5%