NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORAL IND
Points 66.2 80.6
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 46.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 14.7
Points From Free Throws 14.1 19.5
Shooting NORAL IND
Field Goals Made 22.2 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 53.7
Field Goal % 36.5% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.5% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 13.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.1 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 29.6
Free Throw % 77.2% 65.9%
Ball Control NORAL IND
Rebounds 31.6 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 31.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.9
Turnovers 8.9 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.3
Steals 5.2 3.9
Fouls 19.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: N Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORAL IND
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 71.5
% of Possessions with NORAL IND
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 17.2%
Player Fouled 20.4% 27.2%
Turnover 12.4% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORAL IND
Shot Blocked 8.1% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 28.1%