NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB LAF
Points 70.3 66.6
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 22.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 8.8
Shooting CLMB LAF
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 58.7
Field Goal % 43.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 13.1 8.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 12.9
Free Throw % 71.3% 68.2%
Ball Control CLMB LAF
Rebounds 36.4 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.5
Turnovers 11.1 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.6
Steals 6.1 5.9
Fouls 12.8 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Lafayette

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB LAF
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 66.8
% of Possessions with CLMB LAF
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 30.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 18.6%
Turnover 16.1% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB LAF
Shot Blocked 9.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 23.9%