NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORAL UNF
Points 75.0 78.8
Total Points   153.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 17.6 32.0
Points From Free Throws 16.7 16.5
Shooting NORAL UNF
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 56.8
Field Goal % 43.5% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 28.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 16.7 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 21.4
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.2%
Ball Control NORAL UNF
Rebounds 36.3 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.1
Turnovers 8.1 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.9
Steals 4.9 3.9
Fouls 15.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORAL UNF
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 69.5
% of Possessions with NORAL UNF
2 Point Attempt 52.8% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 35.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 21.4%
Turnover 11.4% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORAL UNF
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 21.0%