NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CLMB PENN
Points 78.0 77.8
Total Points   155.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.5 28.3
Points From Free Throws 11.2 10.7
Shooting CLMB PENN
Field Goals Made 28.3 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 59.7
Field Goal % 48.2% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 11.2 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 15.2
Free Throw % 71.3% 70.2%
Ball Control CLMB PENN
Rebounds 32.2 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.2
Turnovers 9.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.5
Steals 5.4 5.2
Fouls 13.1 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Columbia

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CLMB PENN
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 69.4
% of Possessions with CLMB PENN
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 33.1%
Player Fouled 18.1% 18.9%
Turnover 13.4% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CLMB PENN
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 27.6%