NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LNDNWD TNST
Points 62.4 72.9
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 19.2
Points From Free Throws 19.9 18.8
Shooting LNDNWD TNST
Field Goals Made 19.2 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 49.7
Field Goal % 37.4% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.8% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 26.7% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 19.9 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 24.8
Free Throw % 72.6% 76.1%
Ball Control LNDNWD TNST
Rebounds 30.6 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.7
Turnovers 11.6 13.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.0
Steals 6.3 5.7
Fouls 17.5 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Lindenwood

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LNDNWD TNST
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 65.1
% of Possessions with LNDNWD TNST
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 18.7% 22.6%
Player Fouled 27.5% 24.9%
Turnover 16.4% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LNDNWD TNST
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 26.3%