NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SELA TROY
Points 65.9 77.7
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 31.5
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.7
Shooting SELA TROY
Field Goals Made 21.5 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 57.8
Field Goal % 41.8% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 21.5
Free Throw % 74.0% 73.4%
Ball Control SELA TROY
Rebounds 32.9 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.0
Turnovers 15.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.1
Steals 7.4 9.9
Fouls 15.4 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Troy

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SELA TROY
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 71.9
% of Possessions with SELA TROY
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 33.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 35.0%
Player Fouled 22.3% 21.5%
Turnover 22.2% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 13.9% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SELA TROY
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 34.0%