NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNM WYO
Points 83.7 69.0
Total Points   152.7
Points From 2-Pointers 49.9 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 20.2
Points From Free Throws 13.6 15.9
Shooting UNM WYO
Field Goals Made 31.7 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 56.5
Field Goal % 48.9% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 44.8 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 13.6 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.2
Free Throw % 72.3% 75.2%
Ball Control UNM WYO
Rebounds 39.1 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 8.5
Turnovers 7.9 12.3
Blocked Shots 6.6 2.5
Steals 8.8 4.2
Fouls 16.6 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNM WYO
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.4 68.4
% of Possessions with UNM WYO
2 Point Attempt 52.5% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 24.7%
Player Fouled 19.3% 23.0%
Turnover 11.0% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNM WYO
Shot Blocked 4.7% 10.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 23.9%