NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX TCU
Points 76.0 71.8
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 17.3
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.8
Shooting TEX TCU
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 59.0
Field Goal % 48.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 21.8
Free Throw % 76.5% 72.7%
Ball Control TEX TCU
Rebounds 33.1 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 12.0
Turnovers 12.0 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.6
Steals 6.1 7.0
Fouls 15.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Texas

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX TCU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 72.4
% of Possessions with TEX TCU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 18.1%
Player Fouled 20.7% 21.3%
Turnover 16.7% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX TCU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 32.5%