NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX GTWN
Points 85.5 67.9
Total Points   153.4
Points From 2-Pointers 49.5 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.2
Points From Free Throws 15.1 15.6
Shooting TEX GTWN
Field Goals Made 31.7 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 55.7
Field Goal % 55.6% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 24.7 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 65.1% 43.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 21.7
Free Throw % 76.5% 72.0%
Ball Control TEX GTWN
Rebounds 34.1 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 19.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.9
Turnovers 9.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.5 2.7
Steals 7.2 4.4
Fouls 15.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX GTWN
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 68.9
% of Possessions with TEX GTWN
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.6% 22.3%
Turnover 13.1% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX GTWN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 30.1%