NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX HALL
Points 73.2 70.0
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 17.1
Points From Free Throws 10.9 15.9
Shooting TEX HALL
Field Goals Made 27.4 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 57.0
Field Goal % 44.9% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 10.9 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 19.7
Free Throw % 76.5% 80.8%
Ball Control TEX HALL
Rebounds 33.0 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.7
Turnovers 10.2 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.5
Steals 7.1 6.0
Fouls 14.8 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Texas

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX HALL
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 68.8
% of Possessions with TEX HALL
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 20.1%
Player Fouled 18.7% 21.0%
Turnover 14.6% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX HALL
Shot Blocked 8.1% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 31.2%