NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX OKLA
Points 73.8 70.0
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 19.4
Points From Free Throws 13.2 16.0
Shooting TEX OKLA
Field Goals Made 27.2 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 54.1
Field Goal % 46.9% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 21.8
Free Throw % 76.5% 73.5%
Ball Control TEX OKLA
Rebounds 32.3 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.1
Turnovers 9.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.8
Steals 6.8 4.6
Fouls 16.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX OKLA
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 67.2
% of Possessions with TEX OKLA
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 23.0%
Player Fouled 20.4% 23.4%
Turnover 13.2% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 27.2%