NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX TENN
Points 66.4 74.4
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 23.2
Points From Free Throws 14.3 16.2
Shooting TEX TENN
Field Goals Made 22.6 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 59.3
Field Goal % 39.0% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.3 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.4
Free Throw % 76.5% 75.4%
Ball Control TEX TENN
Rebounds 34.8 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.5
Turnovers 11.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.5
Steals 5.7 6.5
Fouls 16.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX TENN
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 72.8
% of Possessions with TEX TENN
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 22.7%
Turnover 15.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX TENN
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 31.1%