NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEX KSU
Points 73.3 66.7
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 18.0
Points From Free Throws 15.6 16.3
Shooting TEX KSU
Field Goals Made 25.7 22.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 53.1
Field Goal % 42.4% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 15.6 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 22.7
Free Throw % 76.5% 71.9%
Ball Control TEX KSU
Rebounds 35.3 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 9.9
Turnovers 9.1 14.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.4
Steals 7.8 4.6
Fouls 16.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEX KSU
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 67.0
% of Possessions with TEX KSU
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 22.3%
Player Fouled 21.5% 23.5%
Turnover 12.8% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEX KSU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 28.9%