NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA ALA
Points 71.9 94.0
Total Points   165.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 35.7
Points From Free Throws 20.4 22.1
Shooting SFA ALA
Field Goals Made 22.9 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 56.5
Field Goal % 39.5% 53.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 62.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 43.4%
Free Throws Made 20.4 22.1
Free Throws Attempted 29.1 29.0
Free Throw % 70.3% 76.4%
Ball Control SFA ALA
Rebounds 30.8 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 19.1 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.3
Turnovers 13.6 13.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 5.4
Steals 8.1 7.1
Fouls 21.2 20.1

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA ALA
Total Possessions 77.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.5 74.8
% of Possessions with SFA ALA
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 32.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 30.5%
Player Fouled 25.9% 27.4%
Turnover 17.6% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA ALA
Shot Blocked 9.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 37.2%