NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAU EWU
Points 69.7 82.4
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 19.6
Points From Free Throws 13.7 20.2
Shooting NAU EWU
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 52.8
Field Goal % 41.4% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 63.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 13.7 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 26.1
Free Throw % 69.2% 77.5%
Ball Control NAU EWU
Rebounds 29.4 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.9
Turnovers 10.9 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.9
Steals 5.4 5.7
Fouls 19.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Washingtn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAU EWU
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 68.7
% of Possessions with NAU EWU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 23.9%
Player Fouled 22.9% 27.2%
Turnover 15.0% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAU EWU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 27.8%