NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NAU MONT
Points 68.6 79.3
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 44.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 19.2
Points From Free Throws 13.5 15.2
Shooting NAU MONT
Field Goals Made 24.9 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 56.9
Field Goal % 43.5% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 19.0
Free Throw % 69.2% 80.1%
Ball Control NAU MONT
Rebounds 30.9 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 7.5
Turnovers 8.9 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.7
Steals 4.6 4.8
Fouls 15.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Arizona

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NAU MONT
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 68.1
% of Possessions with NAU MONT
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 24.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 22.3%
Turnover 12.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NAU MONT
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 24.9%