NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SFA SEA
Points 67.7 72.9
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 23.8
Points From Free Throws 17.1 18.1
Shooting SFA SEA
Field Goals Made 22.8 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 52.0
Field Goal % 42.0% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 17.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 24.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 74.7%
Ball Control SFA SEA
Rebounds 32.8 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.4
Turnovers 13.5 14.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.8
Steals 7.2 5.9
Fouls 18.8 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Ste F Austin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SFA SEA
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 67.5
% of Possessions with SFA SEA
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 24.9%
Player Fouled 26.3% 25.7%
Turnover 18.6% 20.3%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SFA SEA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 29.2%