NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW OSU
Points 66.6 78.4
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 20.2
Points From Free Throws 10.3 16.4
Shooting PFW OSU
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 55.7
Field Goal % 38.6% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 10.3 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 21.9
Free Throw % 71.8% 75.2%
Ball Control PFW OSU
Rebounds 29.9 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 32.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.9
Turnovers 9.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.5
Steals 6.3 4.8
Fouls 17.0 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW OSU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 69.5
% of Possessions with PFW OSU
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 23.2%
Player Fouled 18.2% 23.4%
Turnover 13.1% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW OSU
Shot Blocked 8.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 28.4%