NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW UIC
Points 71.1 72.1
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 26.0
Points From Free Throws 13.7 11.6
Shooting PFW UIC
Field Goals Made 25.0 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 55.8
Field Goal % 41.1% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 16.8
Free Throw % 71.8% 68.8%
Ball Control PFW UIC
Rebounds 33.5 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 6.6
Turnovers 10.4 15.0
Blocked Shots 3.5 4.9
Steals 8.5 5.3
Fouls 13.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW UIC
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 66.1
% of Possessions with PFW UIC
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 28.4%
Player Fouled 20.1% 18.4%
Turnover 14.0% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW UIC
Shot Blocked 8.9% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 20.1%