NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW ORU
Points 76.8 70.9
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.7 25.9
Points From Free Throws 12.5 12.6
Shooting PFW ORU
Field Goals Made 27.5 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 56.1
Field Goal % 44.2% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 12.5 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 16.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 77.1%
Ball Control PFW ORU
Rebounds 34.9 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.3
Turnovers 8.2 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.8
Steals 7.2 4.2
Fouls 13.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW ORU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 65.9
% of Possessions with PFW ORU
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 30.0%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.0%
Turnover 11.2% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW ORU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 19.1%