NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PFW OAK
Points 73.8 76.2
Total Points   150.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 26.5
Points From Free Throws 10.5 14.7
Shooting PFW OAK
Field Goals Made 26.5 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 57.4
Field Goal % 42.6% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 10.5 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 19.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 76.4%
Ball Control PFW OAK
Rebounds 32.3 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 8.9
Turnovers 9.6 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.7
Steals 6.8 5.7
Fouls 14.9 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Oakland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PFW OAK
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 69.4
% of Possessions with PFW OAK
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.7% 29.1%
Player Fouled 17.6% 20.5%
Turnover 13.2% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PFW OAK
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 26.6%