NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN BSU
Points 66.0 79.0
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 30.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.1 28.7
Points From Free Throws 13.6 19.8
Shooting CSN BSU
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 57.6
Field Goal % 44.0% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.0% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 13.6 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 26.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 74.3%
Ball Control CSN BSU
Rebounds 32.8 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.4
Turnovers 12.9 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.8
Steals 5.3 6.8
Fouls 19.3 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Cal St Nrdge

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN BSU
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 74.0
% of Possessions with CSN BSU
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 34.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 32.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 26.6%
Turnover 17.7% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN BSU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 31.2%