NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN HAW
Points 70.3 72.5
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 10.7 26.5
Points From Free Throws 14.5 18.4
Shooting CSN HAW
Field Goals Made 26.1 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 53.4
Field Goal % 45.0% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 26.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 11.9 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.5 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 25.4
Free Throw % 67.7% 72.5%
Ball Control CSN HAW
Rebounds 35.5 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 7.6
Turnovers 11.0 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.4
Steals 6.3 4.8
Fouls 20.3 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Cal St Nrdge

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN HAW
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 68.9
% of Possessions with CSN HAW
2 Point Attempt 55.4% 32.6%
3 Point Attempt 14.3% 32.0%
Player Fouled 23.6% 27.4%
Turnover 14.9% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN HAW
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 21.9%