NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN RICH
Points 64.1 73.9
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.6 26.5
Points From Free Throws 11.9 15.0
Shooting CSN RICH
Field Goals Made 23.7 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 56.4
Field Goal % 39.8% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 11.9 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 21.0
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.6%
Ball Control CSN RICH
Rebounds 39.8 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 5.2
Turnovers 12.2 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.0
Steals 4.8 7.1
Fouls 18.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN RICH
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 68.7
% of Possessions with CSN RICH
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 31.0%
Player Fouled 19.2% 24.9%
Turnover 16.8% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN RICH
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 15.0%