NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN AUB
Points 61.1 85.9
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 10.9 28.0
Points From Free Throws 18.4 22.2
Shooting CSN AUB
Field Goals Made 19.5 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 58.2
Field Goal % 33.8% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 35.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.4 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.1% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 18.4 22.2
Free Throws Attempted 27.2 29.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 74.8%
Ball Control CSN AUB
Rebounds 36.6 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.8
Turnovers 13.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 7.1
Steals 6.1 8.3
Fouls 21.3 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN AUB
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 76.5
% of Possessions with CSN AUB
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 14.8% 29.7%
Player Fouled 24.2% 28.0%
Turnover 18.3% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN AUB
Shot Blocked 12.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 30.4%