NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN USD
Points 75.2 72.8
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 24.7
Points From Free Throws 18.5 17.8
Shooting CSN USD
Field Goals Made 25.9 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 45.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 18.5 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.3 24.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 72.1%
Ball Control CSN USD
Rebounds 39.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.5
Turnovers 13.8 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.2
Steals 7.7 8.2
Fouls 18.4 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN USD
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 72.8
% of Possessions with CSN USD
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 27.7%
Player Fouled 24.8% 24.1%
Turnover 18.0% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN USD
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 25.0%