NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSN PRST
Points 74.5 69.6
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 25.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 26.7
Points From Free Throws 17.0 17.5
Shooting CSN PRST
Field Goals Made 26.3 21.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 59.5
Field Goal % 46.7% 36.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 12.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 41.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.9 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 17.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 25.2
Free Throw % 67.7% 69.4%
Ball Control CSN PRST
Rebounds 41.1 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.1
Turnovers 13.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 6.0 7.3
Fouls 19.2 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Portland St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSN PRST
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 75.0
% of Possessions with CSN PRST
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 34.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.2% 32.8%
Player Fouled 25.0% 25.4%
Turnover 17.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSN PRST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 26.4%