NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM CREI
Points 60.3 87.5
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 13.9 36.3
Points From Free Throws 8.8 13.8
Shooting NEOM CREI
Field Goals Made 23.4 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 64.8 57.6
Field Goal % 36.2% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 48.7 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 38.6% 67.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 8.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 11.8 17.1
Free Throw % 75.0% 80.8%
Ball Control NEOM CREI
Rebounds 29.6 41.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 6.9
Turnovers 6.5 8.9
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.3
Steals 4.7 3.1
Fouls 14.6 10.9

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM CREI
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 68.1
% of Possessions with NEOM CREI
2 Point Attempt 61.5% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 38.3%
Player Fouled 15.6% 20.8%
Turnover 9.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM CREI
Shot Blocked 5.8% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.4% 24.2%