NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM WSU
Points 59.2 78.0
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 13.5 21.1
Points From Free Throws 15.3 14.3
Shooting NEOM WSU
Field Goals Made 19.7 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 56.2
Field Goal % 36.4% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.6% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.3 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 20.1
Free Throw % 75.0% 71.0%
Ball Control NEOM WSU
Rebounds 27.7 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 10.2
Turnovers 8.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 4.3
Steals 4.4 4.3
Fouls 15.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM WSU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 69.1
% of Possessions with NEOM WSU
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 23.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 23.0%
Turnover 12.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM WSU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 17.6% 32.5%