NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTA ORE
Points 71.3 78.9
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 21.7
Points From Free Throws 15.7 18.6
Shooting UTA ORE
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 56.7
Field Goal % 42.0% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 15.7 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 25.6
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.9%
Ball Control UTA ORE
Rebounds 34.1 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.8
Turnovers 13.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.3
Steals 5.4 7.1
Fouls 19.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTA ORE
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 72.2
% of Possessions with UTA ORE
2 Point Attempt 35.8% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 24.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 27.1%
Turnover 19.0% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTA ORE
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 28.6%