NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEOM ORU
Points 71.1 73.4
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 29.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 12.4
Shooting NEOM ORU
Field Goals Made 23.8 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 57.0
Field Goal % 42.1% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 30.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 17.5 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 16.1
Free Throw % 75.0% 77.1%
Ball Control NEOM ORU
Rebounds 35.9 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.6
Turnovers 7.9 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.5
Steals 4.6 4.0
Fouls 13.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEOM ORU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 66.7
% of Possessions with NEOM ORU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 33.9%
Player Fouled 24.7% 18.8%
Turnover 11.3% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEOM ORU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 19.7%